{"id":8129,"date":"2022-06-08T06:59:22","date_gmt":"2022-06-08T06:59:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/philosophers.org\/ckf\/?p=8129"},"modified":"2022-06-08T06:59:26","modified_gmt":"2022-06-08T06:59:26","slug":"james-weatherall-and-interdisciplinarity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/philosophers.org\/ckf\/2022\/06\/08\/james-weatherall-and-interdisciplinarity\/","title":{"rendered":"James Weatherall and Interdisciplinarity"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728 2008 \u5e74\u7d93\u6fdf\u5371\u6a5f\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279 (Warren Buffett) \u767c\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u53e5\u8457\u540d\u7684\u8b66\u544a\uff1a\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/mindmatters.ai\/2020\/08\/beware-of-geeks-bearing-formulas-its-often-pseudoscience\/#:~:text=Pseudoscience%20based%20on%20data%20without,Gary%20Smith%20August%203%2C%202020\">\u7576\u5fc3\u6975\u5ba2\u7684\u516c\u5f0f(Beware of geeks bearing formulas)<\/a>\u201d(geeks\u6975\u5ba2: \u4e0d\u5408\u6642\u5b9c\u6216\u793e\u4ea4\u7121\u80fd\u7684\u4eba\u3002\u5947\u7570\u6216\u602a\u8a95\u7684\u884c\u70ba\u7d44\u6210\u8868\u6f14\u8005)\u4f46\u6b63\u5982 James Weatherall\uff08\u52a0\u5dde\u5927\u5b78\u6b50\u6587\u5206\u6821\u7684\u908f\u8f2f\u5b78\u548c\u79d1\u5b78\u54f2\u5b78\u6559\u6388\uff09 \u6240\u5c55\u793a\u7684\uff0c\u4e26\u975e\u6240\u6709\u7684\u201d\u6975\u5ba2\u201d\u90fd\u662f\u751f\u4f86\u5e73\u7b49\u7684\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u7684\u8a31\u591a\u6578\u5b78\u5bb6\u548c\u8edf\u4ef6\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\u5728\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u62bd\u8c61\u6982\u5ff5\u5728\u5be6\u8e10\u4e2d\u8b8a\u5f97\u919c\u964b\u6642\u90fd\u5931\u6557\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u4e00\u985e\u7279\u6b8a\u7684\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u9769\u547d\u65b9\u9762\u6709\u8457\u66f4\u6df1\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Weatherall \u5c07\u6211\u5011\u5f9e\u4e16\u7d00\u672b\u7684\u5df4\u9ece\u5e36\u5230 Rat Pack \u6642\u4ee3\u7684\u62c9\u65af\u7dad\u52a0\u65af\uff0c\u5f9e\u6230\u6642\u653f\u5e9c\u5be6\u9a57\u5ba4\u5230\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6cbf\u5cb8\u7684 Yippie \u516c\u793e\uff0c\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u5982\u4f55\u6210\u529f\u5730\u5c07\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u79d1\u5b78\u61c9\u7528\u65bc\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u6700\u68d8\u624b\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u5f9e\u9078\u9805\u5c0d\u6ce1\u6cab\u5b9a\u50f9\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/smile.amazon.com\/Physics-Wall-Street-Predicting-Unpredictable-ebook\/dp\/B006R8PMJS\/ref=sr_1_1?crid=3JDPN2F0I0EAY&amp;keywords=The+Physics+of+Wall+Street%3A+A+Brief+History+of+Predicting+the+Unpredictable&amp;qid=1654671261&amp;sprefix=the+physics+of+wall+street+a+brief+history+of+predicting+the+unpredictable%2Caps%2C469&amp;sr=8-1\">The Physics of Wall Street: A Brief History of Predicting the Unpredictable<\/a>\u201c\u4e2d\u8aaa\u660e: \u5371\u6a5f\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6578\u5b78\u5efa\u6a21\u7684\u5931\u6557\u3002\u4f46\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u975e\u5e38\u6210\u719f\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u6a5f\u69cb\u672a\u80fd\u50cf\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u4e00\u6a23\u601d\u8003\u3002\u6a21\u578b\u2014\u2014\u7121\u8ad6\u662f\u79d1\u5b78\u9084\u662f\u91d1\u878d\u2014\u2014\u90fd\u6709\u5c40\u9650\u6027\uff1b\u5b83\u5011\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u689d\u4ef6\u4e0b\u6703\u5206\u89e3\u3002\u800c\u5728 2008 \u5e74\uff0c\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u843d\u5165\u4e86\u4e0d\u4e86\u89e3\u5176\u76ee\u7684\u4e14\u4e0d\u5728\u4e4e\u7684\u4eba\u624b\u4e2d\u3002\u9019\u662f\u5c0d\u79d1\u5b78\u7684\u707d\u96e3\u6027\u6feb\u7528\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u6848\u662f\u4e0d\u8981\u653e\u68c4\u6a21\u578b\uff1b\u9019\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u8b93\u4ed6\u5011\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u597d\u3002 Weatherall \u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u91d1\u878d\u65b0\u6642\u4ee3\u98a8\u53e3\u6d6a\u5c16\u4e0a\u7684\u4eba\u548c\u60f3\u6cd5\u3002\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u4e00\u4f4d\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u4f7f\u7528\u5c08\u70ba\u5730\u9707\u8a2d\u8a08\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u4f86\u9810\u6e2c\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u76e4\u3002\u6211\u5011\u767c\u73fe\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u7d93\u71df\u7684\u5c0d\u6c96\u57fa\u91d1\uff0c\u5b83\u5728 1990 \u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u904e\u7a0b\u4e2d\u7372\u5f97\u4e86 2,478.6% \u7684\u6536\u76ca\u3002\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u91cf\u5b50\u7406\u8ad6\u4e2d\u4e00\u500b\u6666\u6f80\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u5982\u4f55\u5f88\u5feb\u88ab\u7528\u4f86\u5275\u5efa\u4e00\u500b\u66f4\u6e96\u78ba\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u50f9\u683c\u6307\u6578\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe Physics of Wall Street\u201c\u65e2\u6709\u8aaa\u670d\u529b\u53c8\u901a\u4fd7\u6613\u61c2\uff0c\u5f15\u4eba\u5165\u52dd\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u5c07\u6539\u8b8a\u6211\u5011\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff1b\u6b64\u66f8\u66f4\u662f\u300a\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\u300b\u7684\u66a2\u92b7\u66f8\uff0c\u4e26\u88ab\u8a55\u70ba 2013 \u5e74\u300aPhysics Today\u4eca\u65e5\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u300b\u6700\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u4e94\u672c\u66f8\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u771f\u7684\u6709\u932f\u55ce\uff1f Weatherall\u5728\u9019\u672c\u201d<a href=\"https:\/\/smile.amazon.com\/Physics-Finance-Predicting-Unpredictable-Science\/dp\/1780720874\/ref=sr_1_1?crid=2W53E50TO0AS9&amp;keywords=The+Physics+of+Finance%3A+Predicting+the+Unpredictable%3A+How+Science+Has+Taken+Over+Wall+Street&amp;qid=1654671405&amp;s=digital-text&amp;sprefix=the+physics+of+finance+predicting+the+unpredictable+how+science+has+taken+over+wall+street%2Cdigital-text%2C248&amp;sr=1-1\">The Physics of Finance: Predicting the Unpredictable: How Science Has Taken Over Wall Street<\/a>\u201d\u91cd\u8981\u4e14\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u66f8\u4e2d\uff0c\u8b1b\u8ff0\u4e86\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u5982\u4f55\u6210\u529f\u5730\u5c07\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u79d1\u5b78\u61c9\u7528\u65bc\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u6700\u68d8\u624b\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u6c38\u9060\u6539\u8b8a\u4e86\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ed6\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u9019\u9580\u79d1\u5b78\u5982\u4f55\u2014\u2014\u707d\u96e3\u6027\u5730\u2014\u2014\u843d\u5165\u4e86\u4e0d\u7406\u89e3\u5b83\u7684\u4eba\u624b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5728\u4e4e\u3002 Weatherall \u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u6578\u5b78\u6a21\u578b\u78ba\u5be6\u5b58\u5728\u7f3a\u9677\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u65bc\u91d1\u878d\u6a5f\u69cb\u672a\u80fd\u50cf\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u4e00\u6a23\u601d\u8003\uff0c\u707d\u96e3\u9084\u662f\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u3002 \u4ed6\u8aaa\uff0c\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u662f\u6cbb\u7642\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u75be\u75c5\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">James Weatherall\u5176\u5f8c\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u8457\u4f5c: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/smile.amazon.com\/Void-Strange-Physics-Foundational-Questions-ebook\/dp\/B01M68OBVS\/ref=sr_1_1?crid=2Z63LDXK127EH&amp;keywords=Void%3A+the+strange+physics+of+nothing&amp;qid=1654671479&amp;s=digital-text&amp;sprefix=void+the+strange+physics+of+nothing%2Cdigital-text%2C546&amp;sr=1-1\">Void: the strange physics of nothing<\/a>\u201d\u4e2d \u63a2\u8a0e\u4e86\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u201c\u7121nothing\u201d\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u7406\u8ad6\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u6642\u4ee3\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u3002Weatherall\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u73fe\u4ee3\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u57fa\u672c\u6982\u5ff5\uff1a\u4ec0\u9ebc\u90fd\u6c92\u6709\u3002 \u7269\u8cea\u7684\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u2014\u2014\u8cea\u5b50\u3001\u4e2d\u5b50\u3001\u96fb\u5b50\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5938\u514b\u548c\u81a0\u5b50(gluons)\u2014\u2014\u81f3\u5c11\u5c0d\u6211\u5011\u5927\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u4f86\u8aaa\u6709\u9ede\u719f\u6089\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u95dc\u65bc\u865b\u7121\u7684\u7269\u7406\u5b78(physics of nothing)\u5462\uff1fIsaac Newton\u8a8d\u70ba\u7a7a\u66e0\u7684\u7a7a\u9593\u662f\u5411\u56db\u9762\u516b\u65b9\u5ef6\u4f38\u7684\u865b\u7121\uff0c\u4e00\u7a2e\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u5176\u4e2d\u5c55\u958b\u7684\u5287\u5834\u3002 \u4f46\u91cf\u5b50\u8ad6\u548c\u76f8\u5c0d\u8ad6\u90fd\u544a\u8a34\u6211\u5011\uff0c\u725b\u9813\u7684\u5716\u666f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6b63\u78ba\u7684\u3002\u4e8b\u5be6\u8b49\u660e\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6771\u897f\u975e\u5e38\u50cf\u67d0\u7a2e\u6771\u897f\uff0c\u5176\u7d50\u69cb\u548c\u5c6c\u6027\u90fd\u50cf\u7269\u8cea\u4e00\u6a23\u8907\u96dc\u548c\u795e\u79d8\u3002 Weatherall \u5728\u4ed6\u6a19\u8a8c\u6027\u7684\u751f\u52d5\u6563\u6587\u4e2d\u63a2\u7d22\u4e86\u7a7a\u66e0\u7a7a\u9593\u7684\u672c\u8cea\uff0c\u4e26\u978f\u56fa\u4e86\u4ed6\u4f5c\u70ba\u503c\u5f97\u4e00\u770b\u7684\u79d1\u5b78\u4f5c\u5bb6\u7684\u8072\u8b7d\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5c07\u77e5\u8b58\u61c9\u7528\u65bc\u793e\u6703\u5c64\u9762\u53c8\u5982\u4f55\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c\u53e6\u985e\u4e8b\u5be6(alternative facts)\u201d\u7684\u793e\u6703\u52d5\u529b\u5b78\uff1a\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u4f60\u76f8\u4fe1\u4ec0\u9ebc\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u4f60\u8a8d\u8b58\u8ab0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u8981\u95dc\u5fc3\u64c1\u6709\u771f\u5be6\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\uff1f\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u90a3\u4e9b\u660e\u986f\u932f\u8aa4\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u4e26\u50b3\u64ad\u958b\u4f86\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u5c0d\u6301\u6709\u9019\u4e9b\u4fe1\u5ff5\u7684\u4eba\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u7cdf\u7cd5\u751a\u81f3\u81f4\u547d\u7684\u5f8c\u679c\uff1f <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u79d1\u5b78\u54f2\u5b78\u5bb6 Cailin O&#8217;Connor \uff08\u52a0\u5dde\u5927\u5b78\u6b50\u6587\u5206\u6821\u7684\u908f\u8f2f\u548c\u79d1\u5b78\u54f2\u5b78\u52a9\u7406\u6559\u6388\uff09\u548c\nJames Weatherall \u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u793e\u6703\u56e0\u7d20\u800c\u975e\u500b\u4eba\u5fc3\u7406\u5c0d\u65bc\u7406\u89e3\u932f\u8aa4\u4fe1\u5ff5\u7684\u50b3\u64ad\u548c\u6301\u7e8c\u5b58\u5728\u81f3\u95dc\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u660e\u986f\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u8868\u660e\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff1a\u932f\u8aa4\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\u6703\u50b7\u5bb3\u4f60\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u9019\u662f\u5c0d\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff08\u986f\u7136\uff09\u8207\u8a31\u591a\u4eba\u662f\u5426\u76f8\u4fe1\u771f\u5be6\u4e8b\u7269\u7121\u95dc\uff1f <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/smile.amazon.com\/Misinformation-Age-False-Beliefs-Spread-ebook\/dp\/B07L14B7P1\/ref=sr_1_1?crid=34K7Z1SSOIRUE&amp;keywords=The+Misinformation+Age%3A+How+False+Beliefs+Spread&amp;qid=1654671510&amp;s=digital-text&amp;sprefix=the+misinformation+age+how+false+beliefs+spread%2Cdigital-text%2C467&amp;sr=1-1\">The Misinformation Age: How False Beliefs Spread<\/a>\u201c\u662f\u70ba\u4e00\u500b\u5145\u65a5\u8457\u201c\u5047\u65b0\u805e\u201d\u3001\u201c\u53e6\u985e\u4e8b\u5be6\u201d\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c0d\u5f9e\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u5230\u5c31\u8077\u4eba\u7fa4\u898f\u6a21\u7b49\u4e00\u5207\u4e8b\u7269\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\u5b58\u5728\u722d\u8b70\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6642\u4ee3\u800c\u5beb\u7684\uff0c\u5b83\u4ee4\u4eba\u4fe1\u670d\u5730\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4f60\u76f8\u4fe1\u4ec0\u9ebc\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u4f60\u8a8d\u8b58\u8ab0\u3002\u5982\u679c\u793e\u6703\u529b\u91cf\u89e3\u91cb\u4e86\u932f\u8aa4\u4fe1\u5ff5\u7684\u6301\u7e8c\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u5fc5\u9808\u4e86\u89e3\u9019\u4e9b\u529b\u91cf\u5982\u4f55\u904b\u4f5c\u624d\u80fd\u6709\u6548\u5730\u6253\u64ca\u932f\u8aa4\u4fe1\u606f\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Weatherall\u5de7\u5999\u5730\u61c9\u7528\u793e\u6703\u5b78\u6a21\u578b\u4f86\u7814\u7a76\u932f\u8aa4\u4fe1\u606f\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\u50b3\u64ad\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u79d1\u5b78\u7d50\u679c\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u516c\u5171\u9818\u57df\u88ab\u6b6a\u66f2\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u79d1\u5b78\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\u2014\u2014\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u767c\u73fe\u6c1f\u6c2f\u5316\u78b3\u662f\u9020\u6210 1980 \u5e74\u4ee3\u81ed\u6c27\u7a7a\u6d1e\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u63a2\u8a0e\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u771f\u7406\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4e26\u8003\u616e\u4fe1\u606f\u5728\u5065\u5eb7\u6c11\u4e3b\u4e2d\u6240\u8d77\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c\u5047\u65b0\u805e\u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u7db2\u7d61\u7684\u9670\u6697\u9762\uff1a\u50b3\u64ad\u865b\u5047\u548c\u8aa4\u5c0e\u6027\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u5e7e\u4e4e\u4e0d\u53ef\u963b\u64cb\uff0c\u6539\u8b8a\u4e86\u4eba\u5011\u5c0d\u73fe\u5be6\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u4e26\u52d5\u6416\u4e86\u653f\u6cbb\u9ad4\u5236\u3002\u201cThe Misinformation Age\u201c\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u53ca\u6642\u3001\u5f15\u4eba\u5165\u52dd\u7684\u6558\u8ff0\uff0c\u8b1b\u8ff0\u4e86\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u767c\u751f\u7684\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5982\u4f55\u6df7\u5408\u5047\u65b0\u805e\u548c\u7db2\u7d61\u6b63\u5728\u6539\u8b8a\u6211\u5011\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u3002\u932f\u8aa4\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\u4e0d\u662f\u7531\u65bc\u611a\u8822\u6216\u8a8d\u77e5\u504f\u898b\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u7531\u65bc\u6211\u5011\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u90fd\u5fc5\u9808\u5c0d\u4ed6\u4eba\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\u3002\u5b83\u5fc5\u9808\u5728\u7cfb\u7d71\u5c64\u9762\u89e3\u6c7a\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e9b\u5177\u6709\u555f\u767c\u6027\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5728 2008 \u5e74\u7d93\u6fdf\u5371\u6a5f\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279 (Warren Buffett) \u767c\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u53e5\u8457\u540d\u7684\u8b66\u544a\uff1a\u201c\u7576\u5fc3\u6975\u5ba2\u7684\u516c\u5f0f(Beware of geeks bearing formulas)\u201d(geeks\u6975\u5ba2: \u4e0d\u5408\u6642\u5b9c\u6216\u793e\u4ea4\u7121\u80fd\u7684\u4eba\u3002\u5947\u7570\u6216\u602a\u8a95\u7684\u884c\u70ba\u7d44\u6210\u8868\u6f14\u8005)\u4f46\u6b63\u5982 James Weatherall\uff08\u52a0\u5dde\u5927\u5b78\u6b50\u6587\u5206\u6821\u7684\u908f\u8f2f\u5b78\u548c\u79d1\u5b78\u54f2\u5b78\u6559\u6388\uff09 \u6240\u5c55\u793a\u7684\uff0c\u4e26\u975e\u6240\u6709\u7684\u201d\u6975\u5ba2\u201d\u90fd\u662f\u751f\u4f86\u5e73\u7b49\u7684\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u7684\u8a31\u591a\u6578\u5b78\u5bb6\u548c\u8edf\u4ef6\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\u5728\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u62bd\u8c61\u6982\u5ff5\u5728\u5be6\u8e10\u4e2d\u8b8a\u5f97\u919c\u964b\u6642\u90fd\u5931\u6557\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u4e00\u985e\u7279\u6b8a\u7684\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u9769\u547d\u65b9\u9762\u6709\u8457\u66f4\u6df1\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u3002 Weatherall \u5c07\u6211\u5011\u5f9e\u4e16\u7d00\u672b\u7684\u5df4\u9ece\u5e36\u5230 Rat Pack \u6642\u4ee3\u7684\u62c9\u65af\u7dad\u52a0\u65af\uff0c\u5f9e\u6230\u6642\u653f\u5e9c\u5be6\u9a57\u5ba4\u5230\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6cbf\u5cb8\u7684 Yippie \u516c\u793e\uff0c\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u5982\u4f55\u6210\u529f\u5730\u5c07\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u79d1\u5b78\u61c9\u7528\u65bc\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e9b\u6700\u68d8\u624b\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u5f9e\u9078\u9805\u5c0d\u6ce1\u6cab\u5b9a\u50f9\u3002 \u201cThe Physics of Wall Street: A Brief History of Predicting the Unpredictable\u201c\u4e2d\u8aaa\u660e: \u5371\u6a5f\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6578\u5b78\u5efa\u6a21\u7684\u5931\u6557\u3002\u4f46\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u975e\u5e38\u6210\u719f\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u6a5f\u69cb\u672a\u80fd\u50cf\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u4e00\u6a23\u601d\u8003\u3002\u6a21\u578b\u2014\u2014\u7121\u8ad6\u662f\u79d1\u5b78\u9084\u662f\u91d1\u878d\u2014\u2014\u90fd\u6709\u5c40\u9650\u6027\uff1b\u5b83\u5011\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u689d\u4ef6\u4e0b\u6703\u5206\u89e3\u3002\u800c\u5728 2008 \u5e74\uff0c\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u843d\u5165\u4e86\u4e0d\u4e86\u89e3\u5176\u76ee\u7684\u4e14\u4e0d\u5728\u4e4e\u7684\u4eba\u624b\u4e2d\u3002\u9019\u662f\u5c0d\u79d1\u5b78\u7684\u707d\u96e3\u6027\u6feb\u7528\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u6848\u662f\u4e0d\u8981\u653e\u68c4\u6a21\u578b\uff1b\u9019\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u8b93\u4ed6\u5011\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u597d\u3002 Weatherall \u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u91d1\u878d\u65b0\u6642\u4ee3\u98a8\u53e3\u6d6a\u5c16\u4e0a\u7684\u4eba\u548c\u60f3\u6cd5\u3002\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u4e00\u4f4d\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u4f7f\u7528\u5c08\u70ba\u5730\u9707\u8a2d\u8a08\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u4f86\u9810\u6e2c\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u76e4\u3002\u6211\u5011\u767c\u73fe\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u7269\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u7d93\u71df\u7684\u5c0d\u6c96\u57fa\u91d1\uff0c\u5b83\u5728 1990 &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/philosophers.org\/ckf\/2022\/06\/08\/james-weatherall-and-interdisciplinarity\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":true,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[11,17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8129","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category--thinking","category--read"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pc7IvU-277","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/philosophers.org\/ckf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8129","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/philosophers.org\/ckf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/philosophers.org\/ckf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/philosophers.org\/ckf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/philosophers.org\/ckf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8129"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/philosophers.org\/ckf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8129\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8130,"href":"http:\/\/philosophers.org\/ckf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8129\/revisions\/8130"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/philosophers.org\/ckf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8129"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/philosophers.org\/ckf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8129"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/philosophers.org\/ckf\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8129"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}